Suncorp Is Entering The Sell Zone

Since posting a low of $13.30 on June 1st, shares of SUN have rallied over 11% and reached a 1-year high of $14.80 on Friday.

The selling pressure from the May 25th ACCC report on insurance rates seems to have subsided for now. However,  the scaling back of margins and other industry headwinds are still in play.

Technically, internal momentum indicators show that the share price is in overbought territory and a short-term correction is likely.

We see strong resistance in the $15.00 area and initial support just above $13.80.

Investors can trade the short side of SUN on our SAXO Go CFD platform. For more information about trading opportunities with CFDs, call our office at 1-300-614-002

Suncorp

 

Stay Short BOQ and SUN

It was announced today that BOQ and SUN will be forced to send executives to face questioning from the royal commission when hearings resume later this month.

According to Kenneth Hayne, the line of questioning will focus on lending practices to small businesses over the last 10 years, many of which were tipped into default.

Our ALGO engine triggered a sell signal in SUN on November 9th at $14.20. Since then the stock has traded as low as $12.60 and is now back in the sell-zone near $14.20.

BOQ shares pushed against resistance at the $10.50 level last week and we have a medium-term downside target of $9.60.

BOQ

Suncorp

Suncorp Near Resistance At $14.20

Recent research on SUN has outlined a number of earnings hurdles the company will face for the rest of 2108 and into next year.

The hurdles include a higher trajectory of operating costs, findings of the royal commission on the insurance industry and lower Gross Written Premium growth.

All of these combined will likely lead to a lower underlying profit margin outlook.

Technically, our ALGO engine triggered a sell signal last November at $14.20 and we see price resistance in this area.

Our initial downside target is $13.35, followed by $12.90 over the medium-term.

Suncorp

BoA Slips Lower On Weaker FICC Growth

Bank of America reported a 34% rise in first-quarter profit last night, topping Wall Street estimates, as the bank benefited from higher interest rates and growth in loans and deposits.

However, BAC under-performed in fixed income, currency and commodities (FICC) trading because of a decline in bond issuance from corporations.

Trading revenue was up only 1%. Equities trading revenue, excluding items, rose 38%, while revenue from trading fixed income fell 13%.

BAC’s trading results mirrored those of rivals JP Morgan and Citigroup; revenue from stock trading rose at both the banks, but weakness in bond trading crimped total trading revenue growth, which is why their share prices remain soft.

To a large degree, the local banks face the same headwinds but with the added risk of the Royal Bank commission.

Hearings from the commission are back on this week with QBE and SUN included in the questioning over insurance related business practices.

Our ALGO engine triggered a sell signal late last year in both QBE and SUN at $10.40 and $14.05, respectfully.

We remain cautious of the local banking names and see the risk continue to be skewed to the downside, especially in the regional names like BOQ and BEN.

QBE

SUNCORP

BoQ

Bendigo Bank

 

SunCorp Slips On Negative Research

Shares of SUN are down 1% in early trade at $13.76.

A research note from a local investment bank has lowered the guidance on SUN to “under-perform” and adjusted their price target to $12.45.

The report cites higher operating costs and lower margins to rationalize the lower price.

Our ALGO engine triggered a sell signal in SUN at $14.05 on November 10th; we agree with the downside target of $12.45.

SunCorp

 

 

ALGO Update: Stay Short SUNCORP

After releasing a less-than-stellar H1 earnings report on February 15th, shares of SUN have rallied close to 7.5% from $12.60 to $13.50.

We believe this relief rally has run its course and the share price will resume its downtrend, which commenced back to July of last year.

The 19% drop in cash earnings was SUN’s most glaring miss in the H1 report, which will act as a headwind for the stock going forward.

Our ALGO engine triggered a sell signal at $14.05 on November 10th.  The initial downside target is $12.60, with a $14.35 stop.

SunCorp

 

 

 

Suncorp – Earnings Outlook

SUN is due to release its 1H18 results on Thursday 15 February.

We are expecting NPAT of $510m, which is around 50% of the full year target of $1.05b

FY18 EPS growth should be around 5% and the dividend will remain flat at $0.73 placing Suncorp on a forward yield of 5.3%.

Our Algo Engine triggered a sell signal on the recent “lower high” formation and, therefore, we do not hold this name in our model.

 

 

ALGO UPDATE: Stay Short Suncorp

Our ALGO engine triggered a sell signal in SUN on November 29th at $14.25.

After trading in a sideways pattern for over two weeks, the share price has moved lower and closed Friday’s session at $14.05.

The internal momentum indicators are pointing lower and a break of the $13.85 level will likely accelerate the technical down move into the $13.20 area.

With a PE ratio of 17 and a  price to earnings growth ratio of 1.69, we consider a fair value price just above $13.00.

Suncorp

 

 

Algo Buy Signal – ANZ, NAB & WBC

Following the recent sell-off in the major banks, we’re now seeing the Algo Engine flag the short-term “higher low” formation.

We’re cautious about entering these positions on the long-side due to the regulatory risks the banks face & the limited top-line revenue growth outlook for the sector.  However,  the search for yield may support another push higher in prices.

ANZ, NAB & WBC are buy signals, (place stop loss below signal low), CBA & SUN are showing sell signals.