Aussie Dollar Points Lower On US Rate Divergence

With the US FOMC raising its Fed Funds target from 1.5% to 1.75% last week, the overnight rate in the USA is higher than the benchmark rate in Australia for the first time in over 25 years.

This removes a key pillar of support for the AUD/USD. 

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With the RBA firmly on hold throughout 2018 and the FOMC looking to lift rates at least 2 more times this year, we expect the downside pressure on the Aussie dollar to increase.

The AUD/USD posted a 3-month low of .7670 last week as internal momentum indicators continue to point lower. Current chart patterns suggest a test of the .7150 level over the medium-term.

Investors looking to profit from a lower AUD/USD can buy the BetaShare ETF with the symbol: YANK.

YANK is an inverse ETF, which means the price of YANK increases as the AUD/USD trades lower. It also has a weighting of 2.5%, which means the unit price will fluctuate  by 2.5% for every 1% change in the AUD/USD exchange rate.

With a current price of $13.40, we calculate that the price of YANK will be near $16.50 as the AUD/USD returns to the January 2017 low of .7160.

BetaShare ETF: YANK


Author: Todd

Todd has worked in the financial industry for 20 years. During this time, his primary focus has been in the Foreign Exchange, Global Equities and Fixed Income areas. Todd has also served as a Judicial Advocate in several tax cases in the US Federal Court.